Is presidential popularity a threat or encouragement for investors?

نویسندگان

چکیده

The economic situation of the post-epidemic is facing huge downward risks, and government actively introduces stimulus measures to improve current situation. In this crisis, president’s role in asset price gradually deepened. Hence, we utilise a wavelet-based quantile-on-quantile approach uncover complex unstable relationships between presidential popularity currency performance price. We find significant negative impact on stock market oil prices, especially medium quantile. This suggests that political stalemates will not always be suitable for financial markets. Instead, hinder investment because it expresses uncertainty direction. On contrary, U.S. dollar presents highly positive relationship with popularity. Investors can avoid trust risk president through adjustment portfolio. result consistent pricing model, suggesting investor sentiments significantly influence assets. Meanwhile, duration impacts caused by short-term shock eventually repaired long time. approval ratings harm sentiment short term, but digest over

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Ekonomska Istrazivanja-economic Research

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1848-9664', '1331-677X']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677x.2022.2129409